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2024-12-13 05:49:23

CICC: The non-agricultural data in November supported the Fed to continue to cut interest rates. The CICC research report pointed out that after being seriously hindered by hurricanes and strikes, the number of new jobs in the United States rose sharply to 227,000 in November, but the unemployment rate also rose to 4.2%, indicating that the labor market is slowing down. On the whole, the labor market is still in a state of "the momentum of employment growth is weakening, but the job market itself is not weak", which will provide reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in December. However, we also predict that the Fed will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, because as interest rates approach the neutral level, policymakers will become more cautious. One prediction risk is the impact of Trump's immigration policy on the labor market. At present, we tend to have a moderate impact, but we also need to pay close attention to the possibility of extreme situations. Based on non-agricultural data, we believe that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points again this month.Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.Xiaoyu Zhizao, Xiaomi's first furniture model company, completed a round of financing of 100 million yuan, and Beijing Xiaoyu Zhizao Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Xiaoyu Zhizao), the first large model robot company invested by Xiaomi, completed a round of financing of 100 million yuan. This round of financing is exclusively invested by Beijing Information Industry Development Investment Fund. This is the second time that Xiaoyu Zhizao has received billion-dollar financing after Angel Wheel received billion-dollar investment from Xiaomi Group, Professor Wang Tianmiao and Beijing Zhiyuan Research Institute. Xiaoyu Zhizao was founded by the core founding team of Xiaomi Group in 2023, focusing on the development of large-scale model robot technology suitable for industrial fields, and has developed the "Xiaoyu Brain" universal robot brain, which enables robots to perform various tasks in the industrial environment. (science and technology innovation board Daily)


Australia's business confidence has fallen sharply, and the economic outlook is not optimistic. Australia's business confidence index fell sharply in November, and the current situation index measuring employment, sales and profitability has further weakened, once again indicating that the private sector in the economy is facing heavy pressure. According to a survey released by the National Bank of Australia on Tuesday, the business confidence index dropped by 8 points to -3, reversing the gains in October. The status quo index dropped from 7 to 2. "Overall, the survey shows that growth continued to be weak in the fourth quarter," the bank said in the report. As the capacity utilization rate is still above average, it may take more time for price pressure to fully return to normal. The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its last interest rate decision this year in a few hours, and it is almost certain that the policy interest rate will remain at a 13-year high of 4.35%. Last week's data showed that Australia's GDP was weak again in the third quarter, prompting traders to advance their expectations of interest rate cuts from May next year to April.A new cold air comes with rain and snow to cool down, and the chill in the north aggravates the humidity and coldness in the south. Today (December 10th), a new strong cold air comes, and most parts of China will experience obvious cooling. The number of areas in the north that are below freezing point all day is increasing, and the chill is aggravated. The highest temperature in many places in the south will drop to single digits, accompanied by rainy, wet and cold feeling. At the same time, the range of rain and snow in China is still relatively wide today. The snowfall in the north will gradually decrease tomorrow and the rain in the south will continue and will gradually press south.Wang Sicong's food company was forcibly held for 148,000 yuan. According to the information of legal proceedings, recently, Shanghai Ai Luo Star Food Co., Ltd. added a piece of information about the person to be executed, with the execution target of more than 148,000 yuan. The enforcement court is Xian 'an District People's Court of Xianning City. Founded in October 2016, the legal representative is Cheng Hua, with a registered capital of about RMB 18.83 million. Its business scope includes food circulation, food additives, packaging materials, cosmetics, electronic products, daily necessities, clothing, shoes and hats, knitwear, leather products, bags and toys. Wang Sicong holds about 20% of the company's shares and serves as the company's supervisor. Tianyan risk information shows that the company also has information on restricting consumption orders and freezing stock rights.


Zheshang Securities: A-shares may benefit from the rising style of risk appetite, which is more inclined to small-cap growth. Zheshang Securities Research Report pointed out that the current inflation level is in the early stage of bottoming out, and there is a lot of flexibility for the recovery of effective demand. It is expected that monetary policy will still have a total easing space such as RRR cuts and interest rate cuts. In terms of large-scale assets, A-shares may benefit from rising risk appetite, and their styles are more inclined to small-cap growth, and the valuation of technology stocks may be relatively flexible. It is recommended to pay attention to high-elastic sectors such as GEM, Kechuang 50 and Beizheng 50. In the field of fixed income, the current risk-free interest rate level has gradually approached the new equilibrium level. It is expected that the yield of the next 10-year government bonds will generally fluctuate, and the long-term interest rate is less likely to have upward risks. The credit spread is expected to narrow, and the urban investment bonds in the qualified areas will sink in a short period of time or the main allocation direction.More than 1,000 A-share companies have issued shareholder return plans, and both the mid-term dividend and the third quarterly dividend reached record highs this year. Since the beginning of this year, more than 1,000 A-share listed companies have issued shareholder return plans, focusing on the company's long-term and sustainable development, and making institutional arrangements for profit distribution in the next three or five years based on the actual business development and shareholders' wishes. Among them, many leading enterprises with large market capitalization have made high dividend commitments. Judging from the dividend situation in 2024, under the guidance of policies, the dividend rhythm of listed companies has been continuously optimized. During the year, the number and amount of A-share listed companies that have announced interim dividends and third quarterly dividends have set a new record, and the awareness of listed companies to repay investors has been continuously enhanced. (Economic Information Daily)Millennium Capital has increased its office space in Hong Kong. According to Sing Tao Daily, Millennium Capital Management Asia leased another floor of the second phase of Hong Kong Central International Financial Center. Millennium will lease 46 floors of about 23,909 square feet of space until September 2027. The rent for new office space is estimated at around HK$ 120 per square foot. The company has rented the 43rd floor of the same building.

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